La Nina 2024 Winter. The seasonal outlooks show the footprint of la niña's anticipated arrival this fall and winter, which is driving the forecast, handel said. Neutral conditions remain in place for the equatorial pacific ocean.
— there’s a 79% chance that la niña will occur this winter. — noaa projects an 85 percent chance that the enso cycle will shift to its neutral phase between april and june 2024, and then a 60 percent chance a la niña will develop.